The Adventures of Shylock Holmes

One pound of inference, no more, no less. No humbug, no cant, but only inference. This task done, and he would go free.

Monday, October 31, 2011

Faulty Logic on the Soccer Pitch

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Let me explain briefly some logic that may seem superficially appealing, but is in fact catastrophically wrong: Nobody wants to play goalie...
Sunday, October 30, 2011

Alan Joyce, You Magnificent Bastard!

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So over the weekend, Qantas Airlines grounded all of its planes, without any warning. This of course stranded thousands of passengers, and d...
1 comment:

The cause of military suicides

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A statistic that I had a strong hunch was true as soon as I heard it : The suicide rates are at all time highs and rising in the Army and ...
Thursday, October 27, 2011

A Prediction I Doubt I'll Live to See

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Western society has seen enormous changes in its attitude towards animal cruelty over the last 150 or so years. In a rural setting, if you w...
Tuesday, October 25, 2011

Divorce and Mistakes

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It is a sound rule for those with any understanding of probability that the only real mistakes are ex-ante mistakes. Put simply, you should ...

A Social Faux Pas that is Fast Disappearing

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Opening someone else’s mail. This used to be a big deal. But think about it – how much important personal business is actually conducted by ...

Charles Dickens and Modern Political Sensibilities

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In each period, different combinations of political beliefs tend to go together. These days, for instance, a belief in the importance of gen...
Monday, October 24, 2011

Free Business Plan of the Day

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McDonalds is an astonishingly successful franchise. If you need to get a clear example of this in practice, just look at the distribution of...
Thursday, October 20, 2011

Why does the Post Office always lose money?

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This  hilarious story  from the Consumerist provides a clue: The Styrofoam cube enclosed in this envelope is being included by the sender t...

A late-night email exchange

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The Greek:   [Subject: 'The Glory of Australia'] It's stunning to me that you consider yourselves an independent country. At l...

Miscellaneous Winners

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-What would the world look like as you approached the speed of light? Apparently, it would look like this . -Gary Brecher continues to pro...
Wednesday, October 19, 2011

LOLs of the day

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The police medic: Comedy gold! And if you're in the mood for a gratuitously harsh but hilarious heckle by Ace of Spades, this was ...
Tuesday, October 18, 2011

Great Moments in Computer Security and Public Relations

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First State Superannuation  is a company in Australia that provides superannuation funds (the equivalent of America's 401K-type plans fo...

Semi-Conscious Thoughts and Free Parking

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I don't know about you, but my brain has a category of thoughts that I describe as 'semi-conscious'. These are the cases where y...
Monday, October 17, 2011

Quote of the Day

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In reference to the 'Occupy Brisbane' protests, smurray38 had this zinger: I think even Lenin would be hard pressed to find anythi...
Sunday, October 16, 2011

Save Water, Comrade! The Glorious People's Republic of Australia Demands Your Sacrifice!

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Politicians are, for the most part, suspicious of decentralised controls of any sort. Instinctively they tend to reach for technocratic solu...
Friday, October 14, 2011

Generosity on the Cheap

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People worry about all sorts of ridiculous small probabilities. Small probability events tend to loom large in their minds, making them worr...
Wednesday, October 12, 2011

Eating Humble Pie

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This was the prediction, regarding the leaked nude photos of Scarlett Johansson: I'm going to go out on a limb here, and make a wild p...

Moneyball Part 2

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Steve Sailer's take . I really liked this anecdote: When my son was ten, his baseball coach—inspired by Michael Lewis’s bestseller Mone...

Better Dead Than Rude

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Suppose it's late at night, and you're walking along a street alone. You see up ahead of you a group of three rough-looking male you...
3 comments:
Monday, October 10, 2011

The Mentality of Psychopaths

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I've never met anyone I actually was sure was a psychopath. I've known people that I suspected of it, but perhaps in its milder form...
Sunday, October 9, 2011

Date and Time Parochialism

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A day is the length of time it takes a planet to rotate once on its axis. A year is the length of time it takes a planet to orbit a star. ...

Mixed Strategies

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John Nash would be proud . Today is clearly a double-dose of Yank Sports + Economics. In other news, penalties for 'excessive cele...

Moneyball

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Let me start with the punchline: If you've ever run a regression in your life, you should definitely see the movie  Moneyball . This...
Friday, October 7, 2011

Miscellaneous Joy, Fools of the World Edition

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-Some Chinese restaurant in Beijing decides to market itself as Obama Fried Chicken, complete with a mockup version of Obama as Colonel Sand...
Thursday, October 6, 2011

On the Imperfectability of Human Relationships

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Are there any serious doubt that Theodore Dalrymple is the most interesting writer alive today? Here is his latest offering in the New Engl...

Sad But Timely

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Thinking about Steve Jobs reminded me of this XKCD comic describing how cancer survival rates actually work . This is why you can be cured...
Wednesday, October 5, 2011

In Memoriam: Steve Jobs

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Apple is reporting that Steve Jobs has died . A sad day indeed. Much will be written about him in the next few days, no doubt. The world d...
Tuesday, October 4, 2011

How Good is the Apple iPhone 4GS?

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Apple unveiled the new  iPhone 4GS  today. Rather than pore through smoothly presented video presentations, let's answer the question wi...

Feynman on Beauty in the Natural World

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Richard Feynman discusses how science illuminates beauty in the natural world. There are additional videos where he discusses curiosity a...

The Strip Club Litmus Test of Alpha Cred

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Here's something I was thinking about recently. A good rough measure of how alpha a given guy is is how comfortable he is around strip...
Thursday, September 29, 2011

Wall Street Occupied, Brain Cavities Vacant

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In Manhattan, the ' Occupy Wall Street ' protests continue to protest against whatever the hell it is that they're protesting ag...
Wednesday, September 28, 2011

See Ya Later Free Speech, We Hardly Knew Ye

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Australia continues its lamentable decline as yet another country where the delicate feelings of designated victim groups trump freedom of s...
2 comments:
Tuesday, September 27, 2011

My Worst Nightmare

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Over at Reddit is this frightening post where this parent describes the problems he's having with his 17 year old child. Our oldest ha...
Monday, September 26, 2011

Samuel Menashe on Mortality

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Pity us Beside the sea On the sands So briefly According to the obituary for him in The Economist, he wrote this poem on the sands of an...
Sunday, September 25, 2011

Algorithms that need improving

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There’s nothing worse than being at the mercy of a poorly designed algorithm. You’ll be sitting there, knowing that if you were just given h...
Friday, September 23, 2011

The End of the Movie

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If I had to give an award for the most understated but profound song written in the last decade, it would be hard to beat ‘End of the Movie’...
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