Wednesday, October 12, 2011

Eating Humble Pie

This was the prediction, regarding the leaked nude photos of Scarlett Johansson:
I'm going to go out on a limb here, and make a wild prediction - no 'hacker' will be found.
The prediction, it turns out, was completely wrong.

The benefit of running regressions is similar to the benefit of publicly committing your predictions to writing - you get to find out just how often your intuitions about the world are incorrect.

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